Fxdaily
March may not give us conclusive answers on US inflation, fxdaily, the economy or on when the Fed will cut, but it will tell us whether markets now require sharper US data declines to re-enter easing bets. The dollar may still fxdaily to find clear direction in March, fxdaily, but we expect Fxdaily bearish pressure to intensify from the second quarter.
US equity benchmarks continue to push higher as most of the big tech stocks close in on bullish target prices. Chinese equities, however, continue to languish as Chinese authorities institute an array of measures to slow the decline. This divergence can only be helping the dollar. Today we have policy meetings in the Czech Republic and Mexico. US asset markets are having a good few weeks. Equity benchmarks are pushing up to fresh highs and last night's US year Treasury auction saw decent demand.
Fxdaily
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US equity fxdaily continue to push higher as most of the big tech stocks close in on bullish target prices.
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Fxdaily
See all popular ideas. See all brokers. EN Get started. This Wednesday morning, the trading atmosphere for this currency pair is remarkably tranquil.
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The first estimate is likely to be confirmed, You've rejected analytics cookies. You've accepted analytics cookies. Share Twitter LinkedIn E-mail. CEE: Confirmation of negative mood in manufacturing In the Czech Republic, as in Poland yesterday , GDP data for the fourth quarter of last year will be published, including a breakdown. Leading the charge in US equities has been the big tech stocks. Also in the Czech Republic, the state budget for February will be released, which should show more on fiscal policy consolidation after a slightly negative number in January. At the same time, inflation is declining at a faster pace: CPI data showed both headline and core measures decelerating more than anticipated in January. Our view remains that 2Q is when US data will prove soft enough to take the dollar lower, and we see a US dollar decline only accelerate decisively in the summer. Chris Turner. Officials have been looking at an array of measures to arrest the decline, including bans on short-selling, strategic ETF purchases and most recently personnel changes at the top of the China Securities Regulatory Commission.
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US asset markets are having a good few weeks. Crucially, the unwinding of rate cut bets in Canada appears much more a consequence of rebounding Fed rate expectations than domestic factors. Later, PMIs across the region will be released and we expect further confirmation of negative sentiment in the industry across the board. Similarly, a rate cut before June seems unlikely. At the same time, inflation is declining at a faster pace: CPI data showed both headline and core measures decelerating more than anticipated in January. James Knightley and Padhraic Garvey have discussed this in detail here. Accept analytics cookies Reject analytics cookies View cookies. Chris Turner. The Mexican peso has been one of the very few currencies to appreciate against the dollar on a total return basis this year. The CNB will release a new forecast which we think will bring a few changes that we discuss in our preview. The question is whether they will merely follow the Fed lower with rates or feel confident enough to cut before the Fed. Today we have policy meetings in the Czech Republic and Mexico.
It is difficult to tell.