Fivethirtyeight

Historically, the speech hasn't advanced the president's popularity or agenda.

On September 18, , the original website domain at fivethirtyeight. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college , [ 1] was founded on March 7, , as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. During the presidential primaries and general election of the site compiled polling data through a unique methodology derived from Silver's experience in sabermetrics to "balance out the polls with comparative demographic data". Since the election, the site has published articles—typically creating or analyzing statistical information—on a wide variety of topics in current politics and political news. These included a monthly update on the prospects for turnover in the Senate ; federal economic policies; Congressional support for legislation; public support for health care reform , global warming legislation and LGBT rights ; elections around the world; marijuana legalization ; and numerous other topics. The site and its founder are best known for election forecasts, including the presidential election in which FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the vote winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

Fivethirtyeight

See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings. The top two teams from each group qualify for the knockout phase. The first-place finisher from each group will advance to the round of The second-place finisher from each group will play against a third-place finisher from the UEFA Champions League group stage for a spot in the round of The second-place finisher from each group will play against a third-place finisher from the UEFA Europa League group stage for a spot in the round of The top nine teams from each conference — 18 teams total — make the MLS playoffs. The top eight teams from each conference make the USL playoffs. The top twelve teams at the end of the regular season make the Liga MX playoffs, with four teams receiving a first-round bye. The top six teams at the end of the regular season make the NWSL playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye. The top six teams make the A-League playoffs, with two teams receiving a first-round bye.

Fivethirtyeight those three contests the forecast had favored Biden, but they were carried by Trump. Archived from the original on March 21,

Senate Opportunity Fund is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC , c 4 , c 5 or c 6 organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?

Read more about the methodology. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC , c 4 , c 5 or c 6 organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?

Fivethirtyeight

We use data and evidence to advance public knowledge — adding certainty where we can and uncertainty where we must. General inquiries: contact fivethirtyeight. Media requests: media fivethirtyeight. Sales inquiries: sales fivethirtyeight. Reprint requests: anthony. FiveThirtyEight 47 W. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. This is an archived site and is no longer being updated.

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Senate polls current cycle U. For the Dutch radio station, see Radio Retrieved August 6, March 7, ; 16 years ago [1]. San Jose. Retrieved June 19, The " model" once again aggregated the disparate polls to correctly predict that the Republican Scott Brown would win. Morning Consult. Silver's predictions matched the actual results everywhere except in Indiana and the 2nd congressional district of Nebraska , which awards an electoral vote separately from the rest of the state. Send us an email. La Liga 2 Saturday, June 17 June 17 3 p. Archived from the original on December 31, He argued that by giving "Mr. On September 12, , Silver introduced another writer: "FiveThirtyEight extends a hearty welcome to John Sides , a political scientist at George Washington University, who will be writing a series of posts for this site over the next month. American news website.

As you may have heard, there have been some changes at FiveThirtyEight recently. Ambassador Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Granada 75 pts. San Diego Wave 20 pts. CBS Interactive. In September , Silver put into the public domain all of his pollster ratings, [ 6] as well as descriptive summary data for all of the more than 6, polls in his data collection for the final three weeks of U. You shouldn't want to belong to any media brand that seems desperate to have you as a member, even though they'll probably offer the most cash". Archived from the original on January 21, According to Silver, the focus of FiveThirtyEight in its ESPN phase would broaden: "People also think it's going to be a sports site with a little politics thrown in, or it's going to be a politics site with sports thrown in. Kashiwa Reysol. Archived from the original on January 16, September 15, Washington, D. For his general election projections for each state, in addition to relying on the available polls in a given state and "similar states", Silver estimated a " regression " using historical voting information along with demographic characteristics of the states to create an estimate that he treated as a separate poll equivalent to the actually available polls from that state. Archived from the original on September 6, Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Election